
Do you know what you will desire in a year, or five? To know, we can ask Paul Saffo, who is a veteran Silicon Valley forecaster. He thinks a lot about long-term technological change and also about its practical impact on business and society.
Question: What will be our objects of desire in the next five years?
A: It's robots. Very simple, very clear.
Q: Robots, but to do what?
A: We have the technology. The thing missing is the big idea. For teenage boys, I guarantee you within five years the "it" Christmas gift, the thing everybody is going to want, is going to be a telerobotic UAV [unmanned air vehicle]. When your helicopter is a robot, it flies itself, and you just tell it where to go — no learning curve, just instant gratification. Imagine a flying bot that costs $200 or less, is the size of a paperback book, and teenage boys can terrorize their sisters, or look at the sunbathers in the pool next door...
Q: When will love relationships happen between humans and robots?
A: Some guy (David Levy's Love and Sex with Robots) published a book and says everyone is going to have sex with robots in the near future.
Q: Do the love robots actually exist yet?
A: I haven't really looked into it. It's hard to keep up with these things. But let's pick the low-hanging fruit here. The double-knit-suit thing of the next five years is nano-finishes on fabrics. As you know nanotechnology involves the manipulation of objects as small as molecules. So for clothes that don't stain, that you can spill a glass of red wine on and laugh at, I think that's going to catch on a lot more than love robots within the next five years.
Thanks Paul!